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Systems Thinking

The Sciences of the Artificial. A capstone course organized around Herbert Simon's intellectual legacy. Bounded rationality, satisficing, organizational behavior, design science, and systems dynamics—synthesizing insights across all courses.

17 Units
2-3 weeks per unit
Curriculum Map

The Central Figure: Herbert A. Simon (1916-2001)

Simon won the Nobel Prize in Economics (1978), the Turing Award in Computer Science (1975), and the National Medal of Science (1986). He made foundational contributions to political science, economics, cognitive psychology, artificial intelligence, computer science, and philosophy of science.

This course uses Simon's career as a thread connecting fragmented domains of modern knowledge. The same patterns recur across disciplines: bounded rationality in markets, organizations, and minds; hierarchical structure in biology, software, and government; design thinking in engineering, policy, and AI.

What You Will Learn

Rotating Leadership

Each module is led by a different discipline—psychology, economics, political science, computer science, or systems dynamics.

Integrated Assessment

Major assessments require synthesis across domains, evaluated by multiple instructors with different expertise.

Cross-Curricular Synthesis

Each unit connects explicitly to Journalism, Financial Markets, US Politics, Public Health, Philosophy of History, and Critical Thinking courses.

Curated Video Library

8 curated videos to explore — plus 15 more matched to individual units inside the course

All Watched Over by Machines of Loving Grace (Part 1)
13m
documentary
All Watched Over by Machines of Loving Grace (Part 1)YouTube
AngryProphet1976·Jun 2011(15 years ago)·48K views

Adam Curtis's three-part BBC documentary is the single most important video companion for this course -- and this first episode is where it all begins. Curtis traces how Ayn Rand's philosophy of rational self-interest merged with cybernetic theory in Silicon Valley to produce a vision of self-organizing networks that could replace political authority. The documentary shows how systems metaphors -- feedback loops, self-stabilizing networks, emergent order -- were adopted by California technologists who believed computer networks would create stability without central control. A 1991 experiment by Lauren Carpenter, where hundreds of people coordinated a game of Pong without any leader, seemed to prove the dream was real. But Curtis's argument is devastating: when Alan Greenspan, a member of Rand's inner circle, applied this systems thinking to financial markets by deregulating them, the result was not self-correcting equilibrium but the Asian financial crisis. This is meta-systems-thinking: a documentary about how the very frameworks this course teaches were used -- and misused -- to reshape the world. Students will never look at the word 'feedback' the same way again.

feedback loopemergenceself-organizationintervention+1 more
The Sociological Science Behind Social Networks and Social Influence
57m
lecture
The Sociological Science Behind Social Networks and Social InfluenceYouTube
Big Think·Oct 2012(13 years ago)·700K views

Nicholas Christakis opens this Big Think lecture with a move that perfectly mirrors Unit 1's central insight: he describes shifting from treating patients one at a time to asking why whole populations become sick. This is Simon's ant parable in medical form -- the complexity is not in the individual but in the network. Christakis then introduces the concept of emergence through suicide notes, showing how even the most seemingly private act -- taking one's own life -- is shaped by social structure. His key claim, that 'collective phenomena are not mere aggregations of individual phenomena,' is the foundational principle of systems thinking stated in sociological language. He demonstrates how interventions that target network structure rather than individual behavior produce fundamentally different outcomes, connecting directly to the course's treatment of leverage points in Unit 15. For students who think systems thinking is abstract, this lecture grounds it in the most concrete human realities: illness, death, and the invisible connections that shape both.

emergenceaggregationinterventionflow+2 more
PBS Mind Over Money
53m
documentary
PBS Mind Over MoneyYouTube
FullyFundedTrader·Feb 2013(13 years ago)·80K views

This PBS Nova documentary stages a direct confrontation between the rational-agent model of economics and the bounded rationality framework that Herbert Simon pioneered -- the exact intellectual battle that drives Units 2 through 4. The film opens with an experiment that students will never forget: a $20 bill auctioned for $28, because the second-highest bidder also has to pay. This is satisficing failure made visceral. The documentary then traces the history from Adam Smith's rational self-interest through the University of Chicago's mathematical formalization to the 2008 crash, showing how models built on the assumption of perfect rationality failed catastrophically when confronted with actual human behavior. Gary Becker defends the rational model; Richard Thaler demolishes it with billiard-ball experiments. The crash footage is devastating and makes the stakes of this intellectual debate concrete: the question of whether humans optimize or satisfice is not academic -- it determines whether financial systems are designed to be stable or fragile. Watch this after Unit 2 to see bounded rationality's real-world consequences unfold on trading floors.

bounded rationalitysatisficingheuristicrisk+3 more
In the Age of AI (full documentary) | FRONTLINE
1h 54m
documentary
In the Age of AI (full documentary) | FRONTLINEYouTube
FRONTLINE PBS | Official·Dec 2019(6 years ago)·26.0M views

This FRONTLINE documentary is the best available visual case study of nearly every concept in Units 8 through 13. It traces how artificial intelligence emerged from the same problem-space-and-search framework that Simon and Newell pioneered with Logic Theorist in 1956, then shows what happens when those ideas are scaled to billions of parameters and deployed across entire economies. The documentary profiles DeepMind's AlphaGo, which defeated the world's best Go player not through brute-force search but through pattern recognition -- the exact distinction Unit 12 draws between novice calculation and expert perception. It covers neural networks as hierarchically organized systems of near-decomposable modules (Unit 9), the attention economy and algorithmic design of information environments (Unit 13), and the systemic risks that emerge when complex adaptive systems interact in ways their designers did not anticipate. The two-hour runtime is justified: this is the documentary that shows students how Simon's mid-century insights about bounded rationality and problem spaces became the most powerful technology of the twenty-first century.

pattern recognitionproblem spaceemergenceuncertainty+4 more
Beyond the Web Speaker Series: Roger McNamee
1h 1m
lecture
Beyond the Web Speaker Series: Roger McNameeYouTube
Ostrom Workshop·Nov 2022(3 years ago)·199 views

Roger McNamee, a veteran Silicon Valley venture capitalist, delivers a thought experiment at the Ostrom Workshop that reads like a systems-thinking diagnostic of the technology industry's transformation. He traces how the removal of engineering constraints around 2003 -- when Moore's Law finally delivered unlimited processing power, memory, and bandwidth -- produced a phase transition in Silicon Valley's culture, shifting from building tools that empowered users to building platforms that extracted from them. His key insight is structural: every major technology sub-sector exists because of an antitrust intervention (IBM's consent decree created Silicon Valley, the AT&T case created the internet, the Microsoft case created web platforms), which means the system we treat as a free market is actually a product of deliberate design. This connects Unit 10's natural-versus-design-science distinction to Unit 15's leverage points: McNamee is arguing that antitrust regulation operates at Meadows' highest leverage level -- changing the rules of the system. The Ostrom Workshop setting is fitting: Elinor Ostrom's work on governing the commons is systems thinking applied to institutional design.

platformrulesbehavioral economicsintervention+2 more
The ultimate guide to rationality, with Harvard's Steven Pinker
1h 19m
lecture
The ultimate guide to rationality, with Harvard's Steven PinkerYouTube
Big Think·Mar 2023(3 years ago)·933K views

Pinker opens with an argument that directly engages the course's intellectual framework: progress is not a force in the universe but the result of rationality deployed against entropy, parasites, and human nature. This is design science (Unit 10) stated as civilizational principle -- the difference between understanding the world as it is and creating the world as it might be. Pinker's catalogue of progress metrics (longevity, poverty reduction, literacy, declining violence) provides empirical data for evaluating system-level interventions, while his acknowledgment that progress 'hasn't happened in a straight line' maps onto the oscillation and delay patterns of Unit 14. His treatment of cognitive biases and the 'availability heuristic' connects to Units 3 and 12, and his framing of rationality as a collective achievement enabled by language and shared knowledge systems is deeply compatible with Simon's vision of human cognition as embedded in institutional and informational environments. Students who have just finished the first few units on bounded rationality will find Pinker's macro-scale argument both a complement and a provocation.

availabilityecological rationalityrulesignorance+2 more
How Elon Musk Turned Twitter Into X (full documentary) | FRONTLINE
1h 54m
documentary
How Elon Musk Turned Twitter Into X (full documentary) | FRONTLINEYouTube
FRONTLINE PBS | Official·Oct 2023(2 years ago)·3.0M views

This FRONTLINE documentary is the best available case study of what happens when a single actor attempts to intervene in a complex adaptive system without understanding its near-decomposable structure. Musk's $44 billion purchase of Twitter provides a real-time illustration of nearly every failure mode the course teaches: ignoring the architecture of complexity (Unit 8) by dismantling teams whose functions were invisible from outside, disrupting feedback loops (Unit 14) by eliminating content moderation systems whose stabilizing role only became apparent after removal, and choosing weak leverage points (Unit 15) like rebranding over structural interventions. The documentary traces how a platform that functioned as a global information system was transformed by someone who treated it as a simple mechanism rather than a complex adaptive system. For the synthesis unit (Unit 16), this is invaluable: students can apply every framework they have learned -- bounded rationality, organizational decision-making, attention economics, feedback dynamics -- to a single, richly documented case.

platformrulesinterventionfeedback loop+3 more
This is Going to be Very Messy
1h 33m
explainer
This is Going to be Very MessyYouTube
Hank Green·Feb 2026(This year)·1.4M views

Hank Green does something in this video that systems thinkers will recognize immediately: he maps a problem space. He walks through more than a dozen concerns about artificial intelligence, explicitly ranking each by likelihood and severity, acknowledging uncertainty about his own rankings, and discovering that the concerns interact in ways that make them impossible to evaluate independently. This is procedural rationality (Unit 4) performed in real time -- Green is not optimizing for the 'right' answer about AI risk but following a transparent process of intelligence-gathering, design, and choice. His discussion of algorithmic black boxes as systems whose decisions cannot be audited connects to Unit 9's treatment of modularity and interface: what happens when a system's modules are opaque? His treatment of intellectual property, platform concentration, and AI-induced psychosis demonstrates stocks and flows of power, information, and trust across interconnected systems. At 93 minutes, this is the longest video in the showcase, but it models the kind of systematic, uncertainty-aware analysis the course demands.

problemriskuncertaintyplatform+4 more

Explore These Channels

FRONTLINE PBS | Official
~10h

FRONTLINE documentaries are the single best source of long-form case studies showing systemic failures in action. Their investigative approach -- interviewing the actual decision-makers inside institutions as those institutions collapse or transform -- produces exactly the kind of evidence this course needs: not abstract descriptions of feedback loops and delays, but real people making boundedly rational decisions within systems they cannot fully comprehend. For a course that teaches students to see the invisible architecture beneath surface events, FRONTLINE provides the surface events in granular, documented detail.

Covers 5 units in this course
Big Think
~4h

Big Think specializes in the exact format that systems thinking benefits from most: single-concept lectures by domain experts who can translate complex research into accessible language. Their catalogue includes Nicholas Christakis on social networks, Steven Pinker on rationality, and dozens of cognitive scientists, sociologists, and complexity researchers whose work directly intersects the curriculum. The 5-to-15-minute format makes these videos ideal for unit-level companions -- long enough to develop an argument, short enough to assign alongside reading.

Covers 4 units in this course
The RSA
~3h

RSA Animate talks transform complex ideas into visual essays using real-time illustration -- a format that is uniquely suited to systems thinking, where the relationships between concepts matter as much as the concepts themselves. Their catalogue includes talks on education reform, work redesign, empathy as a system-level phenomenon, and the attention economy. The visual format makes abstract systems concepts (feedback, emergence, hierarchy) concrete in ways that talking-head lectures cannot, and several RSA talks are already referenced in the course's supplementary media frontmatter.

Covers 3 units in this course

Course Modules

Module 1: The Cognitive Revolution

Lead: Psychology/Cognitive Science
1
2-3 weeks
The Ant on the Beach
Herbert Simon's famous parable of the ant reveals a profound insight: the complexity we observe in behavior often reflects the complexity of the environment, not the complexity of the agent. This principle transforms how we understand minds, markets, and all adaptive systems.
  • •Explain why complex behavior does not require complex minds
  • •Apply the ant parable as a methodological principle for analyzing systems
  • •Distinguish between complexity in behavior and complexity in the agent producing it
  • +2 more objectives
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2
2-3 weeks
Bounded Rationality
Classical economics assumed humans are perfectly rational optimizers. Herbert Simon showed this was empirically false and proposed an alternative: bounded rationality. Understanding the limits of human cognition transforms how we think about decision-making, markets, organizations, and policy.
  • •Explain the classical economic model of rationality and its assumptions
  • •Articulate Simon's critique of the 'economic man' model
  • •Define bounded rationality and distinguish it from irrationality
  • +2 more objectives
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3
2-3 weeks
Satisficing and Heuristics
If humans cannot optimize, what do we do instead? Simon's answer was satisficing: searching for solutions that are good enough. This unit explores the heuristics and rules of thumb that boundedly rational agents use to navigate a complex world, when they work, and when they fail.
  • •Define satisficing and explain why it is often rational
  • •Identify and analyze common heuristics used in decision-making
  • •Distinguish between adaptive heuristics and cognitive biases
  • +2 more objectives
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Module 2: The Economics of Decision

Lead: Economics/Business
4
2-3 weeks
Procedural vs. Substantive Rationality
Herbert Simon won the Nobel Prize in Economics, then used his lecture to dismantle the field's core assumptions. His distinction between substantive and procedural rationality explains why good processes often matter more than optimal outcomes.
  • •Distinguish between substantive rationality (judging outcomes) and procedural rationality (judging processes)
  • •Analyze Simon's three phases of decision-making: Intelligence, Design, and Choice
  • •Evaluate when good processes matter more than good outcomes
  • +2 more objectives
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5
2-3 weeks
Uncertainty, Ignorance, and Surprise
The deepest form of uncertainty is not knowing what we do not know. Herbert Simon and Frank Knight developed frameworks for deciding under conditions where traditional probability calculus fails. Their insights illuminate decisions from pandemic response to venture capital to climate policy.
  • •Distinguish between risk (known probabilities), uncertainty (unknown probabilities), and ignorance (unknown possibilities)
  • •Apply Frank Knight's 1921 distinction to contemporary decision problems
  • •Analyze decision strategies appropriate to different degrees of uncertainty: maximin, minimax regret, robustness, and real options
  • +3 more objectives
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6
2-3 weeks
Markets and Organizations
If markets efficiently coordinate economic activity through prices, why do firms exist at all? Herbert Simon and Oliver Williamson provided complementary answers that explain when hierarchies outperform markets and why the employment relationship involves a distinctive form of authority.
  • •Explain why firms exist if markets are efficient at coordinating economic activity
  • •Analyze transaction costs and how they determine the boundary between markets and hierarchies
  • •Understand Simon's theory of the employment relationship and authority
  • +2 more objectives
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Module 3: The Organizational Animal

Lead: Political Science/Public Policy
7
2-3 weeks
Administrative Behavior
In 1947, a 31-year-old political scientist attacked the foundations of management theory. His insight—that organizations are best understood as decision-making systems, not command hierarchies—would transform our understanding of administration, earn a Nobel Prize, and reveal why bureaucracies so often fail.
  • •Analyze how organizations function as decision-making systems
  • •Evaluate the critique of administrative 'proverbs' and identify contradictory management principles
  • •Distinguish between factual and value premises in organizational decision-making
  • +2 more objectives
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8
2-3 weeks
The Architecture of Complexity
Two watchmakers set out to assemble thousand-piece watches. One used a hierarchical design and prospered; the other used a flat design and failed. This parable, introduced by Herbert Simon in 1962, reveals a profound truth about complexity: hierarchical systems survive while non-hierarchical ones do not.
  • •Understand why complex systems across all domains tend to be hierarchically organized
  • •Apply the Hora and Tempus parable to analyze evolutionary advantages of hierarchical assembly
  • •Recognize the concept of near-decomposability and its implications for understanding systems
  • +2 more objectives
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9
2-3 weeks
Near-Decomposability and Modularity
You can replace your phone battery without redesigning the phone. You can study economics without understanding quantum physics. You can reform one government agency without restructuring the entire state. These mundane facts reveal a profound truth about complex systems: near-decomposability is what makes understanding, control, and design possible.
  • •Understand the formal concept of near-decomposability and its mathematical representation
  • •Explain why near-decomposability enables understanding of systems too complex to analyze whole
  • •Analyze how near-decomposability enables effective control and intervention in complex systems
  • +2 more objectives
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Module 4: The Artificial World

Lead: Computer Science
10
2-3 weeks
Natural Science vs. Design Science
Physics studies how matter behaves; engineering uses physics to create devices. What is the relationship between understanding the world as it is and creating the world as it might be? Herbert Simon argued that design is not merely applied science but a distinct form of knowledge with its own logic, methods, and epistemology.
  • •Distinguish between natural science (understanding what exists) and design science (creating what might exist)
  • •Analyze Herbert Simon's argument that design constitutes its own form of knowledge
  • •Evaluate the relationship between descriptive and prescriptive disciplines across fields
  • +2 more objectives
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11
2-3 weeks
Problem Spaces and Search
In 1956, Simon and Newell created Logic Theorist, a program that proved mathematical theorems not through understanding but through search. This breakthrough launched both artificial intelligence and cognitive science, revealing that problem solving could be understood as navigation through a space of possibilities.
  • •Understand the problem space hypothesis: that problem solving is search through a space of possible states
  • •Analyze how representation affects problem difficulty and solution strategies
  • •Apply different search strategies (breadth-first, depth-first, means-ends analysis) to problems
  • +2 more objectives
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12
2-3 weeks
Expertise and Pattern Recognition
A chess master glances at a board for five seconds and reconstructs the position perfectly. A novice remembers four or five pieces. Why? The answer revolutionized our understanding of human cognition and revealed that expertise is not about thinking harder but about seeing differently.
  • •Understand how expert performance differs from novice performance through pattern recognition and chunking
  • •Analyze the research on chess expertise that revealed the role of acquired knowledge structures
  • •Evaluate the '10,000 hour rule' and deliberate practice theory
  • +2 more objectives
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Module 5: Systems in Action

Lead: Mixed (Capstone)
13
2-3 weeks
Attention as the Scarce Resource
In 1971, Herbert Simon told Congress that a wealth of information creates a poverty of attention. He was describing our world fifty years before it existed.
  • •Understand how information abundance creates attention scarcity
  • •Analyze Simon's 1971 testimony and its prescient implications
  • •Apply bounded rationality concepts to attention allocation
  • +2 more objectives
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14
2-3 weeks
Feedback, Delays, and Control
Your thermostat is a feedback system. Add a thirty-minute delay and it oscillates wildly. Most real systems have delays. This explains a great deal.
  • •Understand feedback loops and their role in system behavior
  • •Analyze how delays create oscillation and instability
  • •Apply stocks-and-flows thinking to system analysis
  • +2 more objectives
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15
2-3 weeks
Leverage Points and Intervention
Donella Meadows ranked leverage points from weak to strong. The interventions we debate most intensely are among the least powerful. Understanding why reveals something profound about systems and politics.
  • •Understand Meadows' hierarchy of leverage points
  • •Analyze why weak interventions are politically popular
  • •Connect leverage points to Simon's design science
  • +2 more objectives
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16
3-4 weeks
Synthesis: Seeing the Whole
The capstone unit integrates Herbert Simon's frameworks with system dynamics to analyze complex problems. Students demonstrate their systems thinking through substantial projects and reflective synthesis.
  • •Integrate frameworks from across the course into coherent system analysis
  • •Apply bounded rationality, system dynamics, and leverage point thinking to novel problems
  • •Demonstrate cross-curricular synthesis connecting multiple disciplines
  • +2 more objectives
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A capstone interdisciplinary course. Prerequisites: completion of at least two courses in the curriculum.